Even years after Twilight took the throne, there's plenty of excitement in Ponyville. The question isn't whether something interesting will happen, but how ridiculous it will be.
Going by how Snips and Snails are at the epicenter of this one, Apple Bloom's bumping up her initial estimate.
Image by Purplesmart.ai, deliberately chosen for iffy quality. On a related note, contents rated C for Crackfic.